Name and acronym above are provisional :-) - Toby.


This research is part of UKCEH's response to the Climate & Land and Flood & Drought Impacts challenges of UKCEH's Science Challenges.

​Much of the UK's sea coast is low-lying, leading to high vulnerability to coastal inundation events, as has been known since long before the Great North Sea floods of 1953.

Through the previous Hydro-JULES 1 project and the ongoing CHAMFER project, new cutting-edge tools are in development that will greatly improve our ability to predict such events in the UK.
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• Recent developments in high-resolution climate modelling have greatly improved our knowledge of precipitation (PRIMAVERA), however simulation of soil moisture dynamics remains approximate in many ecosystems.
• The Thames Barrier is a key example: it is due to be replaced this century (options will be assessed by 2030, see here).
• NOC provide tidal predictions and are already working on this (find out more?).
• The MetO can provide a 'max storm' scenario for the Thames Estuary based on historical data.
• Impacts of sea surges on the land surface.
• Relevance?
• What can we produce?

A new globalised coupled model approach has recently been developed through the CHAMFER project which provides new and much-improved ability to simulate the behaviour of such catchments (UM_JULES).
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